• The Croatian model and breaking the Minsk II agreement

last modified March 18, 2015 by Tord


The governing Poroschenko party is often presented as a peace party. Yuriy Lutsenko as factional leader in the rada has now together with an overwhelming majority rejected the Minsk II agreement.

According to Jamestown foundation he wrote in the autumn:

"Yuriy Lutsenko, a key advisor to President Poroshenko, wrote on his Facebook page: “An example [for Ukraine] can be Croatia. After the capture of Vukovar by the Yugoslav army, where thousands of [Croatian] defenders of independence died heroically, Croats were forced to accept the existence of Serbska (Serbian) Krajina. For three years, they not only tolerated the temporary losses of territory, but developed the economy and the army. And then in a couple of hours, a tank attack [wiped] the [Serb] separatists from the surface of the earth” (Facebook, September 9; 24tv.ua, September 7)."

Jamestown comments: Increasingly, the lessons of the Balkan wars of the mid-1990s are starting to occupy the thinking of senior officials in Kyiv, particularly in how Ukraine can use the recent series of setbacks in the east as a starting point to win back lost territory. 

Jamestown strongly questions the use of Croatia as a model: 

By the beginning of “Operation Storm” Croatia had been in a state of war for four years. During this time, the country passed a difficult journey from the first defeats it experienced in its battles with the Yugoslav National Army, to the point several years later when it had finally created strong, and well-trained armed forces.

Following the US source which is working closely with US security interests Ukraine seems dangerously loosing realism in its assessment of how to solve the Ukrainian conflict. In spite of the lack of Ukrainian realism US continue to push for war.

http://www.jamestown.org

In a report on the decision in the rada Lutsenko was quoted:


"These laws are not for Putin, not for Europe or America, but for Ukraine and its future. They lead not to the battle for the ruins of our land, but to a future resumption of sovereignty on the territory that is temporarily controlled by the rebels and the Russian army.

They provide the possibility of elections then and only then, when the Ukrainian army and the Ukrainian state will bring the Ukrainian flag, the Ukrainian parties and laws to this territory, when there will be Ukrainian parties, the police, the CEC. The laws do not give any concessions to the terrorists," - said the deputy Yury Lutsenko, the head of the faction of the Poroshenko Bloc.

http://fortruss.blogspot.se/2015/03/back-to-war-ukrainian-parliament.html

In a TV appearance Lutsenko predicted a full scale war soon in line with the rejection of the Minsk II agreement he advocated in the rada and in line with what was decided. 

http://fortruss.blogspot.se/2015/03/a-full-scale-war-with-russia-may-begin.html